Thoughts on British ICT, energy & environment, cloud computing and security from Memset's MD
Intellect, the UK’s high-tech association, succinctly summed up the perverse effects of the CRC in their response to the proposed legislation:
“The current design of the scheme will encourage transfers of carbon liability, rather than a net overall reduction in emissions across the UK.”
“The current design of the scheme will only encourage energy efficiency in a context of stunted growth. At the heart of this problem lies the proposed design of the league table, and the suggested metric to be used for ranking and recycling purposes.”
In this article I will look at how the CRC works in the context of data centres, why it will will not significantly reduce our carbon emissions, and how the it threatens to stifle growth and innovation in a sector vital for our economic and environmental health.
Data centres use in the region of 2.2-3.3% of Britain’s total grid power. While that is a considerable amount, ICT has been repeatedly identified as a key mechanism through which our society will reduce our carbon emissions. The World Wildlife Fund have identified ICT as the way to “save the first billing tons” of carbon, and the Global eSustainability Initiative SMART 2020 report has identified now the intelligent application of ICT can reduce our annual global emissions by 15% by 2020.
Data centres lie at the heart of ICT’s potential to reduce our collective carbon emissions. We, the ICT sector, are not the enemy; we are part of the solution to climate change.
Further, data centres are absolutely key to our national prosperity. Britain’s knowledge economy now employes 41% of the population, and will account for 50% of GDP by 2010. Data centres are the backbone of UK Plc, vital to the resilience of public services and the competitiveness of British business. The ICT sector, powered by data centres, promises to be one of the engines of economic growth which can lift us out of recession, and must be allowed to do so.
We are not idle about our The European IT industry, through Digital Europe (formerly EICTA) has already committed to reducing its carbon emissions by 20% by 2020. The UK has taken a leadership role in on data centre energy efficiency. The British Computer Society in particular has been a key player in the development of the EU Code of Conduct for Data Centres, and the globally-leading cost and energy data centre simulator (in partnership with the Carbon Trust). We, the UK data centre industry, have our house well in order.
The CRC scheme is part of the UK government activity seeking to cut carbon emissions by 80% of 1990 levels by 2050. The most effective way to achieve this goal is to encourage energy users responsible for emissions to reduce their energy consumption on the one hand, and adopt efficiency measures on the other.
However, the government’s scheme plans to allocate the entire carbon liability to the utility bill payer, irrespective of whether the bill payer is in fact using the energy, or a key player in the decision to use this energy.
The basic mechanism for the purpose of this discussion is that any organisation that consumes greater than 6,000 Mega-Watt Hours (mWh) electrical energy per year is automatically captured and all of the electrical (and some other) consumption of that organisation and all subsidiaries is totalled to represent the carbon of the organisation.
6,000 mWh per year is equivalent to a continuous load of 685 Kilo-Watts (kW), roughly 500 kW of IT equipment load in a moderately well-run data centre, which is around 5,000 efficient modern 1U servers (assuming 100W per server). For a poorly run monolithic ‘old school’ data centre with an excess of power and cooling infrastructure, using 3-4 year old servers it might be as few as 2,000 machines.
Operators will have their energy use base lined and then be required to report their energy consumption. The organisation then has to purchase allowances to cover the total carbon in a similar way to the power generators under the EU ETS6. This is intended to add direct financial incentives for the carbon associated with the electrical energy consumed by the data centre operator.
Data centre operators do have the ability to reduce the carbon footprint in newer more modern data centres, and by taking advantage of the relentless improvements in the energy-efficiency of IT equipment. They could contract out the carbon liability of the utility bill back to the customer. At Memset, we have that facility already; it is a trivial matter to put a customer’s approximate share of our total energy consumption onto invoices.
The customer would then would be incentivised to alter its behaviour and chose more energy-efficient criteria in the data centre. An example might be choosing to migrate older servers into a virtualised environment. Furthermore, the high price of energy is already an incentive for operators to encourage their customers to embrace more environmentally friendly solutions; electricity already accounts for roughly one third of our direct costs.
However, as the government’s CRC scheme places the onus to reduce emissions on the organisation which pays the electricity bill, not the end-user, responsibly organisations like us cannot pass the carbon down the supply chain and thus encourage our customers to reduce their usage.
As a result of this, it makes no sense to own your own data centre, and I expect to see a massive increase in data centre outsourcing. That will actually be a good thing for my business, but I so firmly believe that the CRC as it stands will be detrimental to our emissions overall that I am speaking out against it.
Outsourcing a corporate data centre or entire ICT department would, under the current
allocation approach result in the carbon also being outsourced. While clear ‘carbon dumping’ could otherwise lead to reputational damage, data centre outsourcing is a common practice; there would be no way of determining whether the outsourcing that might take place post CRC implementation was driven by genuine business reasons, or a desire to shift the carbon liability.
Furthermore, as energy costs in the UK are currently less competitive than in continental Europe, the additional carbon costs could encourage businesses to offshore. Data centres are by nature geographically flexible. Off-shoring to the continent is a realistic possibility, and the cost of running a data centre in the UK may tip the scales in its favour. This in turn will have wider implications for jobs in the UK, and data and application security.
That said, if organisations do outsource the bulk of their energy-consuming activities to more efficient third parties, the overall net emissions for the UK will reduce, and the CRC will have proved fit for purpose. However, the current design of the performance league table inhibits this from being the case.
The league table is an apparently simple mechanism for the processing and comparison of the carbon reported by each CRC organisation, but will actually create utterly perverse incentives.
The current proposals suggest that rankings in the table will be determined by two metrics: absolute growth in emissions, and relative growth in emissions. After the initial phase of the scheme, the former metric is expected to be weighted at 75%, and the latter at 25% (though it is unclear how DECC reached these figures). As a result, any business growth, even if accompanied by increased overall energy efficiency, could result in an organisation dropping down the league table!
For a data centre, our energy consumption is directly related to our revenues, and as previously mentioned the sector’s continued growth is key to supporting UK PLC and delivering ICT’s promise of reduced carbon emissions across society. The CRC as it stands will reputationally damage data centres who dare grow.
Further still, for companies like Memset that are already leading the market in terms of energy efficiency, and for whom the opportunities for improvement are very few, the CRC is quite simply unfair. It will have been much better to start out as being really bad and then to artificially manage a slow improvement in energy efficiency in order to maximise the league table position. We will look significantly worse than our horribly energy-inefficient competitors, which will result in the customers being mis-directed to use more carbon-intensive providers.
In summary, the CRC as it stands will encourage “carbon laundering” with the outsourcing (or even off-shoring) of data centre operations to avoid brand value damage, will inhibit the growth of one of the UK’s most important business sectors, and will encourage end-users to use the least efficient providers.
The CRC is already changing business behaviours in negative ways. We (as a managed hosting provider) were planning to invest in a leading, semi-experimental, “super-green” data centre in Surrey, which would incorporate a number of the latest innovations in efficient data centre design, and push the boundaries of the technologies further.
However, because the CRC penalises companies that pay the electricity bill it no longer makes sense for us to own and operate a data centre, since instead we can just rent space and power from an existing data centre and let their brand get hit by the league tables, not ours. In this case, the CRC has been directly responsible for stopping an award-winning leader in the field of green IT from investing in the next stage of innovation.
Further, as it stands the CRC may make it more economical to offshore part of our data centre operations; as long as the servers are within a hundred miles of their users it does not matter for 99% of applications.
This is especially frustrating since we already have the capability to account to our customers for their carbon usage (we have been able to do that since becoming Carbon Neutral!), so we could easily pass the carbon levy / “credits” along to our customers. That in turn would further incentivise them to minimise their indirect energy usage through us.
As the CRC stands it will make managed hosting providers with UK-based data centre operations (like Memset) less competitive to those not under the jurisdiction of the CRC (like Amazon EC2), regardless of how well-managed and how efficient we are.
The CRC at present creates the incentive to launder, rather than reduce, carbon emissions and rewards organisations good at playing the ‘carbon game’, not those who are most energy-efficient.
The legislation is a threat to UK skills and employment. From the British Computer Society’s review of the proposed CRC legislation:
“The combined impact of the incentives created by the CRC driving outsourcing of ICT and data centre services both within and outside the UK is likely to reduce the number of skilled jobs in this sector as well as removing the most significant opportunity afforded by this political will, the development in the UK of world leading, exportable skills and technology in energy constrained ICT. “
Finally, contrary to its purpose, the CRC threatens to impede growth and innovation in the data centre industry, and thus inhibit ICT’s ability to deliver the massive carbon savings so clearly identified by numerous reputable sources.
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Good post, and thanks for taking the time and effort to tackle some of these complex issues. I am a Memset customer and it's good to see things out in the open.
I think part of the challenge is that we have a globalised economy, but so far international climate legislation has been ineffective, meaning that the EU and UK have had to undertaken policy innovations within the remit of their own borders. I think that the price that will be placed on carbon by the CRC will be far more accurate in terms of climate damage than the price you pay via the UN flexibility mechanism markets (which is where your 'carbon neutral' offsets ultmiately go).
If the CRC began to merge with other cap-and-trade schemes world-wide (such as RGGI in the US) then ultimately 'going offshore' wouldn't be a problem as all emissions would be caught and accounted for under a global cap, and the price of carbon would be set correctly as a result. I can understand why it's detrimental in the short term for your business, but in general I support the idea as Governments as well as companies need to innovate in order to find out what works.
The final point I want to make relates to your business costs - yes you might be hit by the CRC but does that really mean you can't invest in the efficient data centre in Surrey? Whilst you might lose out somewhat to competition, the brand benefit of highlighting the above issues and then going ahead anyway could work in your favour, and ultimately you may be seen by Government as an industry expert who can help inform discussions about avoiding such clashes occurring in future. Perhaps your shareholders may even support you in such a decision, much in the same way that for FTSE500 companies, the Carbon Disclosure Project has begen to add a new element to shareholder relations, beyond simply financial considerations.
Jamie Andrews
http://jamieandrews.name
Also, I am not purely interested in reducing carbon; I also care about the health of the British economy. Off-shoring is a problem in that instance since it will take away jobs and in the UK. This is especially frustrating when the legislation will hurt an area (data centres) that are actually key to reducing our overall carbon emissions.
To your last point: I fear that you over-estimate peoples ability to recognise that the CRC-league tables are a waste of space. There is no way I want to risk the potentially huge brand-value damage in addition to the massive investment risk (at least £1m, and that is my and my brother's money remember - we are the shareholders!) I would already be taking, just to showcase some cool tech. First and foremost I have to look after my bottom line, my staff and my customers, and for now that means not owning the data centres we use.
From Wikipedia
So for data centres to make a positive impact on CO2 emissions they have to achieve it through more than just power efficiencies. A very interesting, and influential, person in the ICT industry over here is Bill St. Arnaud who is one of the lead architects of CANARIE, Canada's research network. He has a couple of interesting blogs - check out http://green-broadband.blogspot.com/ and http://billstarnaud.blogspot.com/ - one of the points he makes consistently(as have I over the years) is that the source of power for a data center is ultimately more important than the efficiencies inside. A data centre that is fed power from a coal fired generating plant (the vast majority of data centres in North America) is more than 50 times polluting than one fed by hydro-electric generators. Ideally one should build data centres as close to a renewable power supply as possible to gain efficiencies through lower transmission loss.
I would like to add to Doug's comments about the importance of the power source in reducing the over-all carbon footprint. According to Ecotricity (http://www.ecotricity.co.uk/about/live-grid-carbon-intensity)the UK Grid is putting out over 400gCO2/kWh. This is about 19x larger then the output of the Grid here (21gCO2/kWh)in British Columbia, Canada which is mostly hydro power. Virtualization, Cloud Computing and Network Advancements now allow the world to choose datacenters in locations that are both efficient and have clean power sources with a gCO2 output of less than 50.
If you combine the impact of a properly designed data center with a PUE of 1.2 (3x more efficient then a traditional data center) with clean power the impact will be a total reduction of carbon to 1/57th.
Note that this reduction has all occurred without anything being done with server and storage efficiency which could further reduce the carbon footprint by 30%.
I agree that power sourcing is a key part of being responsible, and we are somewhat restricted in Britain, however our customers are here and that means that they want their data within these shores.
I had an exploratory conversation yesterday with the man behind the UK's most ambitious eco-village proposal (Dunsfold Park, where Top Gear is filmed currently). My hope is not only to find a source of renewable power (in the form of a wood-gasification power plant supplied by nearby forestry), but also to recycle the waste heat into the combined heat and power plants so that it can help to heat homes in the eco-village.
In the future I can see data centres becoming part of the heating infrastructure, since what we do from a simple perspective is turn electricity into heat!
Sourcing power locally will become ever-more important for British data centres as the Economist recently pointed out in their extremely worrying feature article How long till the lights go out?, thanks to our posturing politicians we could be facing regular brown-outs by 2013.
My fear is that the energy supply insecurity combined with the incredibly badly thought-out Carbon Reduction Commitment will mean a mass-exodus of data centre infrastructure from old Blighty. Not bad news for you guys, but definitely bad news for British ICT.
I agree with you that the CRC is likely to have a damaging impact on the UK data centre industry. This is primarily because the majority of the measures (75%) are based on absolute metrics which do not allow for growth or outsourcing as you recognise. This means that irrespective of the efforts of data centre operators to reduce their relative emissions they will perform badly in CRC league tables and be penalised through low recycling repayments.
If however the IT industry were to set up an umbrella Climate Change Agreement that data centre operators could sign up to it would exempt them from the need to report emissions under the CRC. A Climate Change Agreement would still require data centre operators to reduce their emissions, but against a relative rather than absolute metric. in return for doing this each operator would recieve an 80% reduction in the climate change levy paid through their energy bills.
In short Climate Change Agreements would:
1) Reduce the energy bill of UK data Centre operators by between 5 and 10%.
2) Encourage the building of more efficient data centres rather than penalise it.
3) Prevent an offshoring policy from becoming prevalent within the industry.
Setting up an umbrella agreement would not be straight forward and would take some time, but it is worth considering isn't it?
Rupert Butt
Liam Newcombe, Research & Policy Director at Romonet, and Europe's leading light in the area of data centre cost & energy efficiency, made some of the following points when you emailed me with your proposal:
1) Sectors with CCAs needed to have them in place over a year ago to get out of phase 1 CRC.
2) CCAs require real commitments to be 'agreed' which would likely force the data centre industry to actually agree to do something, which seems unlikely considering that so few have managed to even sign up to the to sign a voluntary code (the EU Code of Conduct for Data Centres) which saves them money! (Hint hint, guys - it really is not hard!)
3) A CCA would publically stamp the data centre industry as a "big evil polluter" in the eyes of the tabloid press.
4) The main reason CCAs are exempted from CRC is that they are generally deemed to be more expensive to their operators than CRC will be.
In short, a CCA would likely be just as damaging as the CRC, but in different ways. However, you clearly know a lot about the subject and I do want to give you an opportunity to state your side in a face-to-face meeting at some point (probably with a few others).
Sorry for not replying earlier, but I forgot to subscribe to you feed, which I have now done.
In response to your comments:
1) Setting up a CCA would take some time and my view is that organisations would be able to have them in place in time for phase 2 of the CRC which is likely to be the point that they need them.
With a little planning and a good strategy in place IT companies should be able to come out of the first phase of the CRC relatively unscathed from both a financial and reputational perspective. This is because in the first reporting year approximately 10% of the cost of buying allowances is at stake and this is 100% dependent on the “early action” Metric which responsible organisations should be able to achieve. In the second year the financial risk rises to 20% of allowances purchased and the league table will be based on performance against an “early action” metric 40%, a “growth” metric, 15% and an “absolute” metric 45%, meaning that more than half of the weighting is still based on measures that members of the IT industry can perform relatively well in. It is only in the final year of phase one of the scheme when things will start to really bite as the financial risk rises to 30% of allowances purchased and the “absolute” metric has a 60% weighting (although “relative” and “early action” metrics still hold the other 40%. It is phase two where life will get really unpleasant through a combination of the removal on the £12 fixed price for allowances, an increase in the percentage of allowances that are recycled to plus or minus 50%, and a weighting of 75% based on absolute carbon reduction.
2) CCAs are drawn up at sector level and require a relatively modest reduction in annual energy usage. The important fact is that this reduction can be measured against a relative rather than absolute metric, meaning that the hard work done in the IT industry to reduce energy usage would be recognised and not obscured by the rate at which the industry is growing. The effort required by organisations to meet its obligations under a CCA are tiny in comparison to the work needed to comply with the CRC.
3) Many of the tabloid press are themselves signed up to CCAs through the British Printing Industry Federation which has a sector agreement. But members also include the British Egg Products Association and the National Association of Master Bakers which are not pilloried as “big evil polluters”. The CRC on the other hand will have a publically published league table and you can be sure that the tabloid press will have a field day with whoever sits at the bottom of it.
4) CCAs are not mandatory and the thousands of sites in the UK that have signed up to them have done so simply because of the significant financial rewards that are achieved as a result.
A typical site will pay between £3K to £5K per annum to its sector association to administer the scheme, and in return it will get an 80% reduction in the climate change levy it pays through its electricity bill. To put this in perspective, an organisation which just qualified for the CRC by using 6,000 MWh of electricity would receive an annual reduction in its bill of over £20,000 under a CCA.
I would be happy to discuss this further with you and your colleagues if that would be of interest.
Rupert.